DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
1 - 3
SC Paderborn

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bilbija (4', 56'), Muslija (33')
Muslija (18'), Conteh (45+3'), Obermair (64'), Leipertz (72'), Boevink (77'), Bilbija (82'), Nadj (90+7')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between Freiburg and SC Paderborn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, October 29 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SC Paderborn

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 3-1 SC Paderborn
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	SC Paderborn
40.8% ( 0.44)	22.8% ( -0.07)	36.39% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 65.98% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

0.32)

34.96% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.05% (

0.36)

56.95% (

-0.36)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.23% (

0.32)

17.78% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.52% (

0.55)

48.48% (

-0.55)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.03)

19.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

-0.05)

51.79% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 40.8%

SC Paderborn 36.39%

Draw 22.8%

Freiburg	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 40.8%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.8%	1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 36.39%