DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 13, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadion der Freundschaft

Energie Cottbus
0 - 7
SC Paderborn

Hofmann (27'), Pelivan (32'), Dovn Ndualu (38')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Pelivan (3' og.), Musliu (11'), Bilbija (20', 51'), Muslija (64'), Klaas (83'), Hansen (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Energie Cottbus and SC Paderborn.

Form, Standings, Stats

Energie Cottbus

Last Game: Energie Cottbus 1-2 Werder Bremen
Monday, August 1 at 5.01pm in DFB-Pokal

SC Paderborn

All competitions

Last Game: SC Paderborn 1-1 Osnabruck
Friday, August 4 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Energie Cottbus had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.78%) and 0-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Energie Cottbus win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.

Result
Energie Cottbus	Draw	SC Paderborn
19.13% ( -0.12)	20.29% ( -0.05)	60.57% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 59.44% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.19% (

0.04)

36.8% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.02% (

0.04)

58.97% (

-0.05)

Energie Cottbus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.39% (

-0.1)

32.6% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.85% (

-0.11)

69.14% (

0.1)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.19% (

0.05)

11.8% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.96% (

0.12)

37.03% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Energie Cottbus 19.13%

SC Paderborn 60.57%

Draw 20.29%

Energie Cottbus	Draw	SC Paderborn
2-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.13%	1-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.1% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.3% Total : 60.57%