MX23RW : Saturday, June 22 21:39:45| >> :600:1890971:1890971:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gradski stadion
Freiburg logo

Backa Topola
1 - 3
Freiburg

Petrovic (13')
Cvetkovic (60'), Vlalukin (88'), Calusic (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grifo (49' pen., 59', 73')
Lienhart (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Backa Topola and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Backa Topola 2-2 Olympiacos
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
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Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg

Given the manner of their comeback against Olympiacos, Backa Topola will fancy their chances of earning more points against Freiburg. However, we feel that the German side may click into gear in this contest, undoing their next opponents at the back like West Ham and the Greek outfit last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Backa TopolaDrawFreiburg
36.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.6% (0.029 0.03) 39.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.94% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.06% (-0.157 -0.16)38.94% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.74% (-0.164 -0.16)61.26% (0.163 0.16)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)21.3% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.116 -0.12)54.24% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)20.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-0.126 -0.13)52.22% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Backa Topola 36.87%
    Freiburg 39.53%
    Draw 23.6%
Backa TopolaDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 39.53%

How you voted: Backa Topola vs Freiburg

Backa Topola
7.2%
Draw
8.4%
Freiburg
84.3%
83
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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