MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:42:28| >> :60:372:372:
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Gradski stadion
Freiburg logo

Backa Topola
1 - 3
Freiburg

Petrovic (13')
Cvetkovic (60'), Vlalukin (88'), Calusic (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grifo (49' pen., 59', 73')
Lienhart (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Backa Topola and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Backa Topola 2-2 Olympiacos
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg

Given the manner of their comeback against Olympiacos, Backa Topola will fancy their chances of earning more points against Freiburg. However, we feel that the German side may click into gear in this contest, undoing their next opponents at the back like West Ham and the Greek outfit last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.52%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Freiburg in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Backa TopolaDrawFreiburg
36.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.6% (0.029 0.03) 39.53% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 62.94% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.06% (-0.157 -0.16)38.94% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.74% (-0.164 -0.16)61.26% (0.163 0.16)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)21.3% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.76% (-0.116 -0.12)54.24% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)20.02% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-0.126 -0.13)52.22% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Backa Topola 36.87%
    Freiburg 39.53%
    Draw 23.6%
Backa TopolaDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.034 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.87%
1-1 @ 10.6% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96%
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 39.53%

How you voted: Backa Topola vs Freiburg

Backa Topola
7.2%
Draw
8.4%
Freiburg
84.3%
83
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!