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Europa League
West Ham logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
London Stadium

West Ham
3 - 1
Backa Topola

Kudus (66', 70'), Soucek (82')
Kehrer (41')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stanic (47')
Kuveljic (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between West Ham United and Backa Topola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

West Ham United

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham 1-3 Man City
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in Premier League

Backa Topola

All competitions
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: West Ham United 4-0 Backa Topola

 While West Ham will not be underestimating their opponents, this is as ideal start as they could have hoped for. Even if Moyes opts to make a number of alterations, the Hammers should have more than enough quality to breeze to victory on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawBacka Topola
49.09% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 24.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.61% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.56% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)46.5% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (0.053999999999998 0.05)68.78% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43% (0.014000000000003 0.01)50.57% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.058999999999997 0.06)31.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.07 0.07)67.78% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 49.09%
    Backa Topola 26.61%
    Draw 24.29%
West Ham UnitedDrawBacka Topola
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.89% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.97% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 26.61%

How you voted: West Ham vs Backa Topola

West Ham United
85.9%
Draw
10.6%
Backa Topola
3.5%
85
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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