Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 20.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a West Ham United win it was 1-0 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Manchester City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester City.