Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 8

Oct 21, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
VfL Bochum

Doan (26'), Grifo (45+2' pen.)
Gulde (23'), Grifo (29'), Eggestein (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Paciencia (15')
Antwi-Adjej (31'), Schlotterbeck (52'), Gamboa (63'), Riemann (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 8 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, October 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 1-0 VfL Bochum

These two sides have only scored 12 goals combined across their seven league games apiece so far this season, so it is difficult to envisage either goalkeeper enduring particularly busy afternoons. Bochum showed they are capable of resisting pressure when claiming an unlikely point away to Leipzig in their last match, but we expect Freiburg to edge a narrow encounter and return to winning ways. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Freiburg in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Freiburg.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
58.54% ( -0.03)	21.75% ( 0.05)	19.71% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.35% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.33% (

-0.22)

42.67% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.93% (

-0.22)

65.07% (

0.22)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.73% (

-0.08)

14.27% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.94% (

-0.16)

42.05% (

0.16)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.56% (

-0.14)

35.44% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.8% (

-0.15)

72.2% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 58.54%

VfL Bochum 19.71%

Draw 21.74%

Freiburg	Draw	VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 58.54%	1-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.71%