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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
30.18% ( 0.11) | 25.12% ( -0.03) | 44.7% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 55.38% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.1% ( 0.16) | 47.89% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.93% ( 0.15) | 70.07% ( -0.15) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( 0.15) | 29.51% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% ( 0.19) | 65.52% ( -0.2) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.56% ( 0.03) | 21.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.54% ( 0.04) | 54.45% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Stuttgart | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.18% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 44.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 30 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 23 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 21 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Freiburg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 19 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 18 |
9 | Stuttgart | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 17 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 17 |
11 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 16 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Augsburg | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 12 |
15 | St Pauli | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 33 | -23 | 2 |
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