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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Fuhrich (40')
Karazor (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wirtz (47')
Odilon (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Dortmund
Wednesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Stuttgart 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen

With only the reigning champions Bayern scoring more goals than these two sides in the Bundesliga so far this season, it would be a major surprise if those in attendance at MHPArena and watching on from home are not treated to plenty of goals on Sunday. Wirtz's potential absence through injury would be a major blow for Leverkusen, who may need to avoid defeat to return to the top of the table. Stuttgart are yet to draw a league game this season, but we can envisage them sharing the spoils for the first time this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
30.18% (0.108 0.11) 25.12% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 44.7% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.142 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.1% (0.161 0.16)47.89% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (0.148 0.15)70.07% (-0.154 -0.15)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.15300000000001 0.15)29.51% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (0.19 0.19)65.52% (-0.196 -0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.027000000000001 0.03)21.44% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)54.45% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 30.18%
    Bayer Leverkusen 44.7%
    Draw 25.12%
StuttgartDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.9% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 30.18%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.12%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.85% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.7%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs B. Leverkusen

Stuttgart
21.4%
Draw
25.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
53.6%
84
Head to Head
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Guirassy (57' pen.)
Palacios (70' pen.)
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Stuttgart
Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
B. Leverkusen
5-2
Stuttgart
Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
Kalajdzic (50', 77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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