DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Stuttgart1 - 0Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Union Berlin
Both managers will rest important players for this match, so it is difficult to know exactly what to expect, but Union Berlin's form is so disappointing. Stuttgart will enter this game off the back of a defeat, but we are backing them to advance to the next round of the German Cup courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Union Berlin |
47.85% ( -0.01) | 23.99% ( -0) | 28.16% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
