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Stuttgart
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Stuttgart
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Undav (45')
Stergiou (88'), Ito (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tousart (85'), Fischer (86'), Gosens (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Stuttgart and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Union Berlin

 Both managers will rest important players for this match, so it is difficult to know exactly what to expect, but Union Berlin's form is so disappointing. Stuttgart will enter this game off the back of a defeat, but we are backing them to advance to the next round of the German Cup courtesy of a narrow success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.85%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
47.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 28.16% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)44.04% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.58% (0.019000000000005 0.02)66.42% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)18.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.22% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)49.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)28.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (0.023000000000003 0.02)64.86% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 47.85%
    Union Berlin 28.16%
    Draw 23.99%
StuttgartDrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.12%
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 28.16%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Union Berlin

Stuttgart
86.0%
Draw
10.8%
Union Berlin
3.2%
93
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Union Berlin
0-3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
0-1
Union Berlin
Jaeckel (76')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
1-1
Stuttgart
Awoniyi (41' pen.)
Giesselmann (32'), Promel (90+1'), Schafer (90+4')
Kalajdzic (90')
Mavropanos (40'), Ito (79')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
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1-1
Union Berlin
Faghir (90+2')
Nartey (55'), Karazor (56')
Karazor (57')
Awoniyi (31')
Khedira (62')
> Preview
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