Stuttgart have been the surprise package of the Bundesliga so far this season, with Guirassy in unstoppable form, and we can envisage them continuing their impressive run of results with another victory this weekend.
Koln appear to be a team on a downwards trajectory, with Baumgart undoubtedly possessing an array of technically gifted midfielders, but they are perhaps lacking firepower in front of them to more effectively take games away from their opponents.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
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