We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim
Stuttgart need to win more than Hoffenheim, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams here. A draw would make it very nervy for Stuttgart, but Hoffenheim were excellent against Union Berlin last time out, and we are struggling to back them to lose on Saturday afternoon.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.