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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Bayern
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Pavard (17')
Pavard (57'), Upamecano (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Kramaric (71')
Akpoguma (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Bayern
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Hoffenheim

 Bayern must wish they were instead facing Hoffenheim this time last month, when their forthcoming opponents had collected only two points from 14 matches, stretching back to a 2-0 defeat to the Bavarians in October. However, while Matarazzo's side's improved form undoubtedly makes them tricky opposition, Tuchel's side should possess more than enough quality to keep them at arm's length for the most part and remain top of the table with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
79.51% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 12.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 7.86% (0.0068999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.05% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.44% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)47.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.7% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)5.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.13% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.87% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)42.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.02% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)78.97% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 79.51%
    Hoffenheim 7.86%
    Draw 12.62%
Bayern MunichDrawHoffenheim
2-0 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 9.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 8.14%
4-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.55%
6-0 @ 2.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-1 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 79.51%
1-1 @ 5.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 3.54% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 12.62%
1-2 @ 2.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: Bayern vs Hoffenheim

Bayern Munich
84.9%
Draw
11.3%
Hoffenheim
3.8%
53
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
0-2
Bayern

Baumgartner (33')
Musiala (18'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (38')
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
Jan 30, 2021 2.30pm
Bayern
4-1
Hoffenheim
Boateng (32'), Muller (43'), Lewandowski (57'), Gnabry (63')
Roca (53')
Kramaric (44')
Sep 27, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
4-1
Bayern
Bicakcic (16'), Dabour (24'), Kramaric (77', 90+2' pen.)
Geiger (21'), Baumgartner (28'), Kramaric (45+1')
Kimmich (36')
Neuer (90+1'), Boateng (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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