Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Union Berlin
This is a hugely important match for both teams at either end of the table, with a victory potentially enough for either side to achieve their respective ambitions.
However, avoiding defeat would not be the end of the world as it would ensure that their destiny remains in their own hands heading into the final match of the season, or potentially even better than that depending on results elsewhere. As such, we can envisage a share of the spoils after an entertaining affair.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 45.85% . A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.4% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.96%) . The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%) . The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result Hoffenheim Draw Union Berlin 45.85% ( -0.41) 25.37% ( 0.07) 28.78% ( 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.74% ( -0.01)
50.34% ( -0.11) 49.66% ( 0.11)
28.33% ( -0.1) 71.67% ( 0.1)
78.34% ( -0.23) 21.66% ( 0.23)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.21% ( -0.36) 54.79% ( 0.36)
68.59% ( 0.19) 31.41% ( -0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.22% ( 0.22) 67.78% ( -0.22)
Hoffenheim 45.85%
Union Berlin 28.78%
Draw 25.36%
Hoffenheim Draw Union Berlin 1-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 45.85% 1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.36% 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.78%
How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
Draw
Union Berlin
56
rhs 2.0
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