Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Beljo (53')
Engels (11'), Gouweleeuw (19')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Laidouni (64'), Jaeckel (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Union Berlin

With Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund still in sight, we expect Union Berlin to notch a narrow victory over struggling Augsburg, who look set to slide deeper into relegation danger. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
31.37% ( 0.99)	27.91% ( -0.05)	40.72% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 47.29% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.48% (

0.47)

58.53% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.9% (

0.37)

79.1% (

-0.36)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.87% (

0.98)

34.13% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.18% (

1.04)

70.82% (

-1.04)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.8% (

-0.29)

28.2% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.1% (

-0.38)

63.9% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 31.37%

Union Berlin 40.71%

Draw 27.9%

Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 31.37%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.77% Total : 40.71%