Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 2
Augsburg

Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Raum (74'), Silva (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
Uduokhai (48'), Iago (48'), Gouweleeuw (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 1-3 FC Koln
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Augsburg

Leipzig have performed with far more control in each of their recent victories, with an additional defender at the expense of Silva helping them retain possession to a much higher level. As such, while Augsburg may be able to hang in the game at the Red Bull Arena on Saturday, we expect the hosts to take a giant step towards securing Champions League football for the fifth successive season with a vital victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 74.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 10.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
74.04% ( -0.08)	15.68% ( 0.04)	10.28% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 52.26% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.41% (

-0.08)

34.58% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.47% (

-0.09)

56.52% (

0.09)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02% (

-0.04)

7.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.86% (

-0.09)

28.13% (

0.09)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.79% (

43.2% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.53% (

79.46% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 74.03%

Augsburg 10.28%

Draw 15.68%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Augsburg
2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 74.03%	1-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.68%	1-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 10.28%