We said: Hertha Berlin 1-2 RB Leipzig
Despite facing the threat of relegation, Hertha are certainly not a bad side under Schwarz whatsoever, and they can consider themselves slightly unfortunate to be as low in the table as they are based on their performances this season.
Their misfortune could continue on Saturday, with Leipzig appearing to put their recent poor league form behind them after comfortably dispatching Dortmund in midweek. We can envisage a narrow away win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 0-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.