Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 16.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.