Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Union Berlin4 - 2Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, May 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Freiburg
Union Berlin and Freiburg look set to play out a cagey draw in the German capital as both sides aim to avoid defeat and maintain their top-four bids. Although Union have stuttered in recent weeks, Fischer's men are expected to extend their unbeaten run on home soil to 19 matches with a hard-fought draw on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Freiburg |
| 49.53% | 26.51% | 23.96% |
| Both teams to score 46.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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