Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mage-Solar-Stadion

Freiburg
0 - 1
RB Leipzig

Streich (78'), Grifo (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kampl (73')
Haidara (21'), Nkunku (36'), Laimer (64'), Kampl (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-5 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Freiburg 1-2 RB Leipzig

Leipzig will be hoping that Freiburg are still reeling from the effects of Tuesday's heavy defeat as they aim to climb above Saturday's opponents into the top four with another victory the Europa-Park Stadion. The hosts will be keen to put things right and respond well with an improved performance, but considering the threat that the visitors pose in attack, we expect Die Roten Bullen to outscore their opponents once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
24.43% ( -0.04)	22.35% ( 0.06)	53.22% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 59.99% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.36% (

-0.34)

39.64% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.01% (

-0.35)

61.99% (

0.35)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.22)

29.46% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.27)

65.47% (

0.27)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

-0.13)

14.96% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.63% (

-0.24)

43.37% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 24.43%

RB Leipzig 53.22%

Draw 22.35%

Freiburg	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.25% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 24.43%	1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.35%	1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.22%