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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Koln logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
FC Koln

Dolberg (90+4')
Brooks (29')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kainz (18' pen.), Selke (39'), Thielmann (90+2')
Selke (26'), Schwabe (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Mainz
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 3-1 FC Koln

Hoffenheim are on a serious roll at this present moment in time, having moved five points clear of the relegation zone after taking 10 points from a possible 12 in recent weeks. With Kramaric back to his goalscoring best, we expect them to have a little too much for Koln, who would see their opponents move above them in the table should they succumb to defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
47.41% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 23.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 29.1% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.27% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.84% (0.063000000000002 0.06)41.16% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.44% (0.062999999999995 0.06)63.55% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (0.013999999999996 0.01)17.6% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (0.026000000000003 0.03)48.17% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.15% (0.055000000000007 0.06)26.85% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.84% (0.073 0.07)62.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 47.41%
    FC Koln 29.1%
    Draw 23.49%
HoffenheimDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs FC Koln

Hoffenheim
87.5%
Draw
4.2%
FC Koln
8.3%
24
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2022 6.30pm
gameweek 12
FC Koln
1-1
Hoffenheim
Kainz (13')
Bruun Larsen (36')
Kabak (7')
Mar 6, 2022 4.30pm
gameweek 25
FC Koln
0-1
Hoffenheim

Ljubicic (61')
Posch (61')
Baumgartner (85'), Baumann (90+2'), Grillitsch (90+5'), Dabour (90+5')
Oct 15, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 8
Hoffenheim
5-0
FC Koln
Bebou (31', 49'), Baumgartner (51'), Geiger (74'), Posch (87')
Kaderabek (33')

Czichos (81')
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 1
FC Koln
2-3
Hoffenheim
Andersson (22'), Drexler (86')
Bornauw (33'), Duda (69'), Hector (85')
Kramaric (4', 45+3', 90+2')
Bicakcic (45+5'), Bebou (90'), Baumann (90'), Kaderabek (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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