Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 2

Aug 25, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
5 - 1
Stuttgart

Henrichs (51'), Olmo (63'), Openda (66'), Kampl (74'), Simons (76')
Rose (45+7'), Schlager (61')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guirassy (35')
Egloff (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Stuttgart

Stuttgart will carry plenty of threat in transition with the pace and finishing abilities of Silas and Guirassy, who will both be extremely confident after scoring twice each on the opening day. However, Leipzig's performance was not bad by any means despite being defeated away to Leverkusen on Sunday, and we expect them to bounce back given that their home form has been so impressive under Rose's tutelage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Stuttgart
38.78% ( -1.15)	25.62% ( 0.13)	35.6% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 55.47% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.44% (

-0.46)

48.55% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.32% (

-0.42)

70.67% (

0.42)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.37% (

-0.81)

24.63% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.86% (

-1.14)

59.13% (

1.14)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.6% (

0.37)

26.4% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.44% (

0.5)

61.56% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 38.78%

Stuttgart 35.6%

Draw 25.61%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Stuttgart
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.78%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.24% Total : 35.6%