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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
66.88% ( -0.3) | 16.77% ( 0.12) | 16.34% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 67.5% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
75.72% ( -0.27) | 24.28% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.03% ( -0.36) | 43.96% ( 0.36) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.13% ( -0.13) | 6.87% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.73% ( -0.34) | 25.26% ( 0.34) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( -0) | 27.52% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% ( -0) | 63.02% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 66.88% | 1-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.77% | 1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.87% Total : 16.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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