Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
4 - 2
Schalke

Laimer (10'), Nkunku (19', 90+4'), Poulsen (82')
Rose (21'), Haidara (41'), Nkunku (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kaminski (28'), Orban (49' og.)
Brunner (20'), Polter (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 20 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Schalke 04

Although Leipzig are guaranteed to finish third regardless of their result against Schalke, Rose will still want his players to end their league campaign on a high ahead of taking on Frankfurt in the DFB-Pokal final next weekend. Schalke have done well to stay alive heading into the final day of the season given their disastrous form earlier in the campaign, but we expect an instant return to the second tier to be confirmed with a defeat this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 13.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Schalke 04
67.99% ( -0.08)	18.11% ( 0.02)	13.9% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.32% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.45% (

0.1)

36.55% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.3% (

0.11)

58.7% (

-0.11)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.16% (

0.01)

9.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.35% (

0.02)

32.64% (

-0.01)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.35% (

0.17)

38.65% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.61% (

0.16)

75.39% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 67.99%

Schalke 04 13.9%

Draw 18.11%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Schalke 04
2-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 67.99%	1-1 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.11%	1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.9%