Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 30

Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Veltins-Arena

Schalke
2 - 1
Werder Bremen

van den Berg (81'), Drexler (90+2')
Krauss (65'), Yoshida (75'), van den Berg (85'), Zalazar (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ducksch (18')
Stage (27'), Veljkovic (57'), Ducksch (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Schalke 04

All competitions

Last Game: Freiburg 4-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Schalke 04 1-3 Werder Bremen

Although Schalke's urgency to put more points on the board is clearly far greater than Werder Bremen's, we can envisage the visitors claiming a second successive away victory against relegation strugglers. Having put four goals past Hertha without their top goalscorer even entering the pitch, they will feel supremely confident of achieving similar against Schalke, who conceded that exact amount last week. The hosts look doomed to a second relegation in three seasons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Schalke 04 in this match.

Result
Schalke 04	Draw	Werder Bremen
38.67% ( -0.33)	23.68% ( -0.29)	37.65% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 62.71% (

1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.74% (

1.46)

39.26% (

-1.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.41% (

1.52)

61.59% (

-1.52)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.44% (

0.48)

20.56% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

0.76)

53.08% (

-0.76)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

0.96)

21.05% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.14% (

1.47)

53.85% (

-1.48)

Score Analysis

Schalke 04 38.67%

Werder Bremen 37.65%

Draw 23.67%

Schalke 04	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.67%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.65%