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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 22, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Olympic Stadium
Werder Bremen logo

Hertha Berlin
2 - 4
Werder Bremen

Ngankam (68'), Lukebakio (79' pen.)
Kempf (29'), Serdar (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ducksch (6', 27', 51'), Weiser (63')
Stage (36'), Schmid (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hertha Berlin and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hertha Berlin

All competitions
Last Game: Schalke 5-2 Hertha Berlin
Friday, April 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hertha Berlin 2-2 Werder Bremen

 Much will depend on whether Werder are able to select Fullkrug from the start after his recent knock, but the visitors are still capable of scoring goals even without their talismanic figure in attack. We expect Hertha to provide a reaction after finally making the decision to change their manager earlier this week, with Dardai already boasting a strong connection with the club's fanbase. However, they may fall short of the victory that they so desperately require. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Hertha BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
40.87% (0.348 0.35) 24.29% (-0.072999999999997 -0.07) 34.84% (-0.275 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.05% (0.207 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (0.293 0.29)42.57% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03% (0.29 0.29)64.97% (-0.289 -0.29)
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.29100000000001 0.29)20.95% (-0.289 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (0.44900000000001 0.45)53.7% (-0.447 -0.45)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)58.29% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Hertha Berlin 40.87%
    Werder Bremen 34.84%
    Draw 24.29%
Hertha BerlinDrawWerder Bremen
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.18% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Hertha Berlin vs Werder Bremen

Hertha Berlin
21.4%
Draw
50.0%
Werder Bremen
28.6%
14
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2022 7.30pm
gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Fullkrug (85')

Kanga (17')
Jan 23, 2021 5.30pm
gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
1-4
Werder Bremen
Cordoba (45+2')
Mittelstadt (9'), Cordoba (26')
Selke (10' pen.), Toprak (29'), Bittencourt (57'), Sargent (77')
Selke (12'), Mbom (21'), Bittencourt (86')
Sep 19, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 1
Werder Bremen
1-4
Hertha Berlin
Selke (69')
Eggestein (46'), Selke (90+1'), F (90+1')
Pekarik (42'), Lukebakio (45+2'), Cunha (62'), Cordoba (90')
Mar 7, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 25
Hertha Berlin
2-2
Werder Bremen
Stark (41'), Cunha (60')
Darida (59'), Klunter (62'), Stark (82')
Sargent (3'), Klaassen (6')
Sargent (71'), Vogt (76'), Klaassen (82')
Oct 19, 2019 2.30pm
gameweek 8
Werder Bremen
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Sargent (7')
Bittencourt (80')
Lukebakio (70')
Klunter (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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