Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 2nd Leg

Jun 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Kittel (6')
Kittel (65'), Muheim (65'), Bilbija (68'), Mikelbrencis (83'), Schonlau (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Millot (48', 64'), Wamangituka (90+6')
Mavropanos (25'), Guirassy (58'), Fuhrich (66'), Sosa (66'), Tomas (90+3'), Karazor (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Hamburger SV and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions

Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Hamburger SV
Thursday, June 1 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Hamburger SV
Thursday, June 1 at 7.45pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hamburger SV 1-1 Stuttgart

Realistically, Hamburg can not afford to concede if they are to have any chance of finally returning to the Bundesliga, and they probably need to be leading at half time to have genuine belief of overturning a three-goal deficit. While stranger things have happened in football, we can not envisage Stuttgart letting their lead slip under Hoeness's tutelage, and they should comfortably secure their top flight status to inflict yet more agony on one of Germany's greatest clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.09%) and 1-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
Hamburger SV	Draw	Stuttgart
53.98% ( -0.19)	21.27% ( 0.22)	24.75% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 64.33% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.9% (

-1.12)

34.1% (

1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.02% (

-1.28)

55.98% (

1.28)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.18% (

-0.43)

12.82% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.85% (

-0.89)

39.15% (

0.89)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.79% (

-0.63)

26.21% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.69% (

-0.85)

61.31% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Hamburger SV 53.98%

Stuttgart 24.75%

Draw 21.27%

Hamburger SV	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 53.98%	1-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 24.75%