MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:58:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Stuttgart

Mainz
1 - 3
Stuttgart

Barreiro (69')
Caci (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guirassy (56', 84', 90+7')
Stiller (60'), Anton (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-0 Mainz
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-0 Freiburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 1-2 Stuttgart

Stuttgart have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend with six wins in their last seven matches across all competitions. Hoeness's men take on a floundering Mainz side who have struggled for results this season and we fancy them to extend their dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
32.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 25.04% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 42.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.36% (0.033000000000001 0.03)46.64% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.09% (0.032 0.03)68.91% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.030000000000001 0.03)27.4% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.13% (0.036999999999999 0.04)62.87% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)21.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (0.009999999999998 0.01)55.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 32.43%
    Stuttgart 42.53%
    Draw 25.04%
Mainz 05DrawStuttgart
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-1 @ 7.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.53%

How you voted: Mainz vs Stuttgart

Mainz 05
20.0%
Draw
12.0%
Stuttgart
68.0%
25
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Ingvartsen (23')
Kohr (61'), Bell (75'), Ajorque (90+5')
Endo (41'), Guirassy (64'), Fuhrich (78'), Coulibaly (90+1')
Endo (73')
Jan 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Stuttgart
1-1
Mainz
Guirassy (36')
Ingvartsen (40' pen.)
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Mainz
0-0
Stuttgart
Matarazzo (45+2'), Stenzel (70')
Nov 26, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Stuttgart
2-1
Mainz
Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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