MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:24:32| >> :600:2124328:2124328:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Mainz logo

Elversberg
0 - 1
Mainz


Feil (70'), Neubauer (80')
Feil (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ajorque (73' pen.)
Bell (90+2'), van den Berg (90+6')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Elversberg and Mainz 05.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elversberg

All competitions
Last Game: Elversberg 1-2 Hansa Rostock
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Last Game: Mainz 1-0 Burnley
Saturday, August 5 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
ElversbergDrawMainz 05
39.62% (0.11799999999999 0.12) 23.06% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 37.32% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 65.11% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.86% (0.205 0.2)36.13% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.75% (0.226 0.23)58.24% (-0.232 -0.23)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.13799999999999 0.14)18.78% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81% (0.236 0.24)50.19% (-0.242 -0.24)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17% (0.048000000000002 0.05)19.83% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.09% (0.085999999999999 0.09)51.91% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 39.62%
    Mainz 05 37.32%
    Draw 23.05%
ElversbergDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.59% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.82% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 3.68% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 37.32%

How you voted: Elversberg vs Mainz

Elversberg
16.7%
Draw
0.0%
Mainz 05
83.3%
6
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2021 2.30pm
First Round
Elversberg
2-2
Mainz
 Mainz win 8-7 on penalties
Schnellbacher (73', 110')
Conrad (46'), Fellhauer (86')
Burkardt (89', 116')
Niakhate (69'), Kohr (118')
rhs 2.0
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