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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
 
Mainz logo

Stuttgart
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Ito (21'), Sosa (51')
Mangala (36'), Sosa (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hack (39')
Caricol (9'), Boetius (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Mainz 05

 Despite Stuttgart's troubles of late, we are predicting a draw in this one on Friday, with very little between these sides on their day. Were Mainz at home, we would be predicting a narrow victory, but we can see them having to settle for a third successive 1-1 draw at the Mercedes Benz Arena, although this could all depend on who scores the vital first goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
39.87%25.9%34.22%
Both teams to score 54.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50%49.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.97%
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.29%24.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.75%59.25%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09%27.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47%63.53%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 39.87%
    Mainz 05 34.22%
    Draw 25.9%
StuttgartDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.64%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 39.87%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 5.62%
1-3 @ 3.34%
0-3 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.34%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.22%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Mainz 05

Stuttgart
33.0%
Draw
27.0%
Mainz 05
40.0%
115
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Stuttgart
2-0
Mainz
Kalajdzic (55'), Wamangituka (72')
Forster (33')

Niakhate (21'), Bell (43'), Onisiwo (45+1'), Svensson (54'), Kohr (81')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mainz
1-4
Stuttgart
Quaison (13')
Niakhate (37')
Niakhate (77')
Wamangituka (45'), Didavi (61'), Klimowicz (80'), Kalajdzic (86')
Stenzel (52'), Mangala (69'), Castro (74')
Stenzel (90+1')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Stuttgart
2-3
Mainz
Gonzalez (83'), Kempf (85')
Kempf (20'), Ascacibar (89')
Ascacibar (22' og.), Mateta (28'), Hack (72')
Brosinski (84'), Holtmann (90')
Aug 26, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mainz
1-0
Stuttgart
Ujah (76')
Holtmann (63')

Ascacibar (79'), Sosa (90')
Jan 20, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-2
Stuttgart
Muto (45', 54'), Holtmann (64')
de Jong (47'), Zentner (90')
Badstuber (19'), Ginczek (90')
Insua (12'), Ginczek (59'), Burnic (75'), Pavard (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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