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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Bayern logo

FC Koln
1 - 2
Bayern

Ljubicic (81' pen.)
Schmitz (24'), Ljubicic (81'), Thielmann (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coman (8'), Musiala (89')

The Match

Match Report

Bayern Munich pip Borussia Dortmund to an 11th-successive Bundesliga title on an incredible final day which saw the lead change hands for the final time in the 89th minute.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.84%) and 1-3 (5.54%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
32.59% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 22.09% (0.0020000000000024 0) 45.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 67.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.53% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)32.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)54.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)20.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)52.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.48% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)43.52% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 32.59%
    Bayern Munich 45.31%
    Draw 22.09%
FC KolnDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 4.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.59%
1-1 @ 9.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.08%
3-3 @ 2.32%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 5.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.1%
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.31%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Bayern

FC Koln
13.8%
Draw
17.2%
Bayern Munich
69.0%
58
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
gameweek 17
Bayern
1-1
FC Koln
Kimmich (90')
Skhiri (4')
Huseinbasic (12')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
gameweek 19
FC Koln
0-4
Bayern

Kilian (9')
Lewandowski (9', 62', 74'), Tolisso (25')
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
gameweek 2
Bayern
3-2
FC Koln
Lewandowski (50'), Gnabry (59', 71')
Sule (76')
Modeste (60'), Uth (62')
Ljubicic (20')
Feb 27, 2021 2.30pm
gameweek 23
Bayern
5-1
FC Koln
Maxim Choupo-Moting (18'), Lewandowski (33', 65'), Gnabry (82', 86')
Alaba (22'), Sane (45+1')
Skhiri (49')
Czichos (45')
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
gameweek 6
FC Koln
1-2
Bayern
Drexler (82')
Wolf (89')
Muller (13' pen.), Gnabry (45+1')
Maxim Choupo-Moting (10'), Pavard (23')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
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Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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Saturday, June 22
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Monday, July 1
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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