Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen1 - 2FC Koln
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FC Koln
This has the potential to be a tricky match for Leverkusen, but it is difficult to back against the home side here. A win for the Black and Reds would move them to within five points of the top four, and we are expecting them to secure a vital win in Friday night's affair. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | FC Koln |
54.7% ( 0.13) | 22.6% ( 0.49) | 22.71% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 56.98% ( -2.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
