Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

May 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 2
FC Koln

Adli (28')
Adli (80')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Selke (14', 36')
Thielmann (45'), Olesen (69'), Selke (71'), Chabot (80'), Maina (80'), Schmitz (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-0 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, April 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FC Koln

This has the potential to be a tricky match for Leverkusen, but it is difficult to back against the home side here. A win for the Black and Reds would move them to within five points of the top four, and we are expecting them to secure a vital win in Friday night's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
54.7% ( 0.13)	22.6% ( 0.49)	22.71% ( -0.63)

Both teams to score 56.98% (

-2.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.37% (

-2.99)

42.63% (

2.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

-3.04)

65.03% (

3.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.49% (

-1)

15.51% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.59% (

-1.88)

44.41% (

1.87)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

-2.2)

32.55% (

2.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.91% (

-2.54)

69.09% (

2.53)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 54.7%

FC Koln 22.71%

Draw 22.59%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.9) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.56) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.21) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 54.7%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.42) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.64) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.71%