Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Frankfurt
Saturday, October 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 1-1 Hoffenheim

Both teams' firepower will almost certainly be blunted by missing their star strikers through injury, with Stuttgart likely to feel the absence of Guirassy in particular given his superb start to the season. Their winning run surely has to come to an end sooner rather than later, and we believe that Hoffenheim have enough about them to avoid defeat on Saturday, with both managers set to be desperate to get one over on their former clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.49%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Hoffenheim
47.7% ( -0.2)	22.22% ( -0.02)	30.08% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 65.63% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.6% (

0.22)

34.4% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.68% (

0.25)

56.31% (

-0.25)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.07% (

0.02)

14.93% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.68% (

0.03)

43.32% (

-0.03)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

0.24)

22.85% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

0.35)

56.58% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 47.7%

Hoffenheim 30.08%

Draw 22.22%

Stuttgart	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.7%	1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 30.08%