Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
We said: Union Berlin 1-1 Hoffenheim
Aiming for a fourth successive win, Hoffenheim look set to frustrate Union Berlin, who will be fatigued after pushing Real Madrid all the way in midweek.
Still, we expect the two sides to play out a low-scoring draw on Saturday, as Union have lost just one of their home league games since the beginning of last season.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 37.75% . A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.73%) . The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result Union Berlin Draw Hoffenheim 37.64% 24.61% 37.75%
Both teams to score 59.19%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Union Berlin 37.64%
Hoffenheim 37.75%
Draw 24.61%
Union Berlin Draw Hoffenheim 2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.64% 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.75%
How you voted: Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Draw
Hoffenheim
26
rhs 2.0
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