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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
49.81% ( 0.01) | 23.9% ( -0.02) | 26.29% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.59% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% ( 0.08) | 45% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% ( 0.08) | 67.36% ( -0.08) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.86% ( 0.04) | 18.14% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.89% ( 0.06) | 49.11% ( -0.06) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% ( 0.05) | 30.87% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% ( 0.05) | 67.15% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 26.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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