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Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Heidenheim
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Beste (26'), Pieringer (58')
Dinkci (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Beier (77'), Kaderabek (80'), Kramaric (90' pen.)
Bulter (25'), Akpoguma (40'), Grillitsch (70'), Kaderabek (82'), Weghorst (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 0-2 Hoffenheim

Heidenheim are clearly a spirited outfit and they will carry plenty of excitement during the club's debut campaign in the Bundesliga, but scoring goals could become a major problem for them at this level. Despite losing to Freiburg on the opening day, Hoffenheim have recruited smartly during the transfer window and they improved under Matarazzo's tutelage towards the end of last season. We can envisage them collecting all three points on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawHoffenheim
49.81% (0.012 0.01) 23.9% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.29% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 56.59% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (0.083000000000006 0.08)45% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (0.077999999999996 0.08)67.36% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.86% (0.035000000000011 0.04)18.14% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89% (0.061999999999998 0.06)49.11% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.13% (0.046999999999997 0.05)30.87% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.85% (0.055 0.05)67.15% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 49.81%
    Hoffenheim 26.29%
    Draw 23.89%
HeidenheimDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.89%
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.87% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.29%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Hoffenheim

Heidenheim
28.1%
Draw
28.1%
Hoffenheim
43.8%
32
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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