MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:40:35| >> :60:2755:2755:
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Union Berlin logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Bellingham (90+4')
Tchouameni (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Tousart (1')

The Match

Match Report

In-form Jude Bellingham scores a last-gasp winner to hand Real Madrid a 1-0 victory over Champions League debutants Union Berlin at the Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Union Berlin.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Wednesday's Champions League clash with Union Berlin.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Union Berlin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, September 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.49%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawUnion Berlin
49.49% (0.035999999999994 0.04) 24.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 26.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.16% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.36% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)45.63% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)67.96% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)18.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)49.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)31.08% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (-0.073 -0.07)67.4% (0.073000000000008 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 49.49%
    Union Berlin 26.43%
    Draw 24.07%
Real MadridDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.38%
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.49%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.43%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Union Berlin

Real Madrid
86.0%
Draw
10.0%
Union Berlin
4.1%
271
rhs 2.0
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