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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Union Berlin |
37.02% ( -0.03) | 27.63% ( -0.01) | 35.34% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.9% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.12% ( 0.03) | 56.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.2% ( 0.03) | 77.8% ( -0.02) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% ( -0) | 29.55% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( -0.01) | 65.57% ( 0.01) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.4% ( 0.04) | 30.59% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.17% ( 0.05) | 66.83% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
SV Darmstadt 98 | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 10.7% 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 7 | 29 | 29 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
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