Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Wolfsburg2 - 1Union Berlin
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Wolfsburg 2-2 Union Berlin
Union took four points off Wolfsburg last season and knocked them out of the DFB-Pokal, but there is a different look about both sides this season, and it could be a close encounter. Wolfsburg will hope to have Wimmer and Wind available, as they are two players that could play a pivotal role in deciding the outcome of this game, otherwise Union may have the slight edge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
34.99% ( -0.14) | 26.95% ( 0.18) | 38.05% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
