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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Brooks (45+2'), Beier (60'), Skov (74')
Weghorst (10'), Bebou (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tomas (36')
Maehle (43'), Svanberg (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Wolfsburg

 Despite their mixed start to the campaign, Hoffenheim clearly possess plenty of firepower within their attacking unit, and they will be confident of performing much better than last season. Likewise, Wolfsburg will be targeting a European spot after their near-miss in May, with Wind likely to fancy his chances of scoring for the third successive game. We can envisage a high-scoring draw at the PreZero Arena this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
34.73% (-0.204 -0.2) 23.41% (0.087 0.09) 41.86% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.68% (-0.479 -0.48)38.32% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (-0.509 -0.51)60.6% (0.509 0.51)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.32799999999999 -0.33)22.12% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (-0.498 -0.5)55.49% (0.499 0.5)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.149 -0.15)18.72% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.25 -0.25)50.09% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 34.73%
    Wolfsburg 41.86%
    Draw 23.4%
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 41.86%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
25.0%
Draw
32.7%
Wolfsburg
42.3%
52
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
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2-1
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Kaminski (15'), Waldschmidt (75')
Baku (31'), Guilavogui (49')
Guilavogui (90+3' og.)
Bebou (51'), Akpoguma (88')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Hoffenheim
1-2
Wolfsburg
Baumgartner (42')
Kabak (45+4' og.), Baku (56')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Wolfsburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Wind (36')
Philipp (11')
Bruun Larsen (73'), Kramaric (78')
Bruun Larsen (87'), Raum (90+2')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
3-1
Wolfsburg
Kramaric (45+2'), Baumgartner (74'), Kaderabek (81')
Kaderabek (50'), Grillitsch (78')
Baku (25')
Arnold (78'), Roussillon (80')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Wolfsburg
Baumgartner (8'), Kramaric (41')
Sessegnon (70'), Dabour (80')
Weghorst (23')
Steffen (30'), Lacroix (65'), Schlager (72'), Glasner (73'), Otavio (88')
Otavio (90+4')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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