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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Brooks (45+2'), Beier (60'), Skov (74')
Weghorst (10'), Bebou (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Tomas (36')
Maehle (43'), Svanberg (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-2 Wolfsburg
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-2 Wolfsburg

Despite their mixed start to the campaign, Hoffenheim clearly possess plenty of firepower within their attacking unit, and they will be confident of performing much better than last season. Likewise, Wolfsburg will be targeting a European spot after their near-miss in May, with Wind likely to fancy his chances of scoring for the third successive game. We can envisage a high-scoring draw at the PreZero Arena this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
34.73% (-0.204 -0.2) 23.41% (0.087 0.09) 41.86% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.383 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.68% (-0.479 -0.48)38.32% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.4% (-0.509 -0.51)60.6% (0.509 0.51)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (-0.32799999999999 -0.33)22.12% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (-0.498 -0.5)55.49% (0.499 0.5)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.28% (-0.149 -0.15)18.72% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.91% (-0.25 -0.25)50.09% (0.25 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 34.73%
    Wolfsburg 41.86%
    Draw 23.4%
HoffenheimDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.71% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.055 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 34.73%
1-1 @ 10.46% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.86% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.4%
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 5.81% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.7% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.028 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 41.86%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Wolfsburg

Hoffenheim
25.0%
Draw
32.7%
Wolfsburg
42.3%
52
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Wolfsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Kaminski (15'), Waldschmidt (75')
Baku (31'), Guilavogui (49')
Guilavogui (90+3' og.)
Bebou (51'), Akpoguma (88')
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Hoffenheim
1-2
Wolfsburg
Kabak (45+4' og.), Baku (56')
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Wolfsburg
1-2
Hoffenheim
Wind (36')
Philipp (11')
Bruun Larsen (73'), Kramaric (78')
Bruun Larsen (87'), Raum (90+2')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
3-1
Wolfsburg
Kramaric (45+2'), Baumgartner (74'), Kaderabek (81')
Kaderabek (50'), Grillitsch (78')
Baku (25')
Arnold (78'), Roussillon (80')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Wolfsburg
Baumgartner (8'), Kramaric (41')
Sessegnon (70'), Dabour (80')
Weghorst (23')
Steffen (30'), Lacroix (65'), Schlager (72'), Glasner (73'), Otavio (88')
Otavio (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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