Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
2 - 3
Hoffenheim

Schmid (17'), Stage (90+1')
Keita (32'), Ducksch (45+1'), Weiser (56'), Rapp (58'), Jung (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Beier (8'), Promel (29'), Bulter (90+2')
Promel (69'), Akpoguma (72'), Baumann (90'), Vogt (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 4-2 Werder Bremen
Sunday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 Dortmund
Friday, September 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim

Having ended last season in a serious slump after beginning the campaign so quickly to allay any relegation concerns, Werder Bremen could be in for a tougher campaign having sold their star striker Fullkrug to Dortmund. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, appear to be a more serious proposition under Hoeness despite losing to BVB in their last match, and we can envisage the offensive combination of Kramaric and Weghorst helping the visitors to a marginal victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Hoffenheim
30.73% ( -0.43)	22.45% ( -0.01)	46.82% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 65.17% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.83% (

-0.19)

35.17% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.82% (

-0.21)

57.18% (

0.21)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

-0.34)

22.85% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

-0.51)

56.58% (

0.52)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.47% (

0.09)

15.53% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.55% (

0.16)

44.46% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 30.73%

Hoffenheim 46.83%

Draw 22.45%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.73%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 46.83%