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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Sep 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Dortmund logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Dortmund

Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

 With both teams picking up some strong results so far this season, we expect to see a high-quality match play out at the Rhein-Neckar-Arena on Friday evening, with the respective managers seemingly finding a better balance between attack and defence in recent weeks. Although BVB will be acutely aware that any more dropped points could see them fall too far behind Bayern in the title race even at this early stage of the season, we can envisage them having to share for a share of the spoils in Baden-Wurttemberg, which would at least keep their unbeaten record in tact. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.59%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.53% (0.0040000000000013 0) 19.88% (0.0030000000000001 0) 53.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 71.72% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.61% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)20.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)10.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.91% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 26.53%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.59%
    Draw 19.88%
HoffenheimDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.64%
1-0 @ 3.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3.17%
2-0 @ 2.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.45%
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 26.53%
1-1 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 6.85%
3-3 @ 2.79%
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 19.88%
1-2 @ 8.58%
1-3 @ 6.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.38%
2-3 @ 5.25%
0-1 @ 4.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.12%
1-4 @ 3.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37%
1-5 @ 1.74%
3-4 @ 1.61%
2-5 @ 1.39%
0-5 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 53.59%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Dortmund

Hoffenheim
24.0%
Draw
32.8%
Borussia Dortmund
43.2%
125
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Hoffenheim
0-1
Dortmund
Brandt (43')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Dortmund
2-2
Hoffenheim
Sancho (24'), Braut Haaland (81')
Delaney (21'), Akanji (67')
Dabour (31'), Bebou (51')
Rudy (27'), Grillitsch (57'), Vogt (59'), Posch (60'), Samassekou (65'), Dabour (85'), Gacinovic (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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