MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:25:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
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Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Wolfsburg

Dortmund
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

Reus (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cerny (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Wolfsburg

Dortmund may have thrashed Wolfsburg in their last two home meetings, but a tighter affair could be in store on Saturday considering that there is little to separate these two clubs in the early stages of the campaign. Terzic will be seeking a response from his BVB players on home soil after their midweek loss in Europe, and we believe that they may just have the edge in the final third to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.39% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
60.72%18.89%20.39%
Both teams to score 67.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.14%27.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.43%48.57%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.89%9.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.07%30.92%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.93%26.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89%61.11%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 60.72%
    Wolfsburg 20.39%
    Draw 18.89%
Borussia DortmundDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 7.32%
2-0 @ 6.81%
1-0 @ 5.69%
3-0 @ 5.44%
3-2 @ 4.92%
4-1 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 3.26%
4-2 @ 2.95%
5-1 @ 2.1%
5-0 @ 1.56%
5-2 @ 1.41%
4-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 4.38%
Total : 60.72%
1-1 @ 7.65%
2-2 @ 6.16%
0-0 @ 2.37%
3-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 18.89%
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-1 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-2 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 0.96%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 20.39%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund
67.2%
Draw
20.7%
Wolfsburg
12.1%
58
Head to Head
May 7, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 31
Dortmund
6-0
Wolfsburg
Adeyemi (14', 59'), Haller (28'), Malen (37'), Bellingham (54', 86')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Wolfsburg
2-0
Dortmund
Van de Ven (6'), Nmecha (90+2')
Apr 16, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 30
Dortmund
6-1
Wolfsburg
Rothe (24'), Witsel (26'), Akanji (28'), Can (35'), Braut Haaland (38', 54')
Baku (81')
Baku (33'), Gerhardt (41')
Nov 27, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Wolfsburg
1-3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Wolfsburg
0-2
Dortmund

Otavio (72')
Braut Haaland (12', 68')
Bellingham (13'), Meunier (88')
Bellingham (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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