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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.72%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.39% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
60.72% | 18.89% | 20.39% |
Both teams to score 67.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.14% | 27.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.43% | 48.57% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.89% | 9.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.07% | 30.92% |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% | 26.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.89% | 61.11% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.16% 3-1 @ 7.32% 2-0 @ 6.81% 1-0 @ 5.69% 3-0 @ 5.44% 3-2 @ 4.92% 4-1 @ 4.38% 4-0 @ 3.26% 4-2 @ 2.95% 5-1 @ 2.1% 5-0 @ 1.56% 5-2 @ 1.41% 4-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 4.38% Total : 60.72% | 1-1 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 2.37% 3-3 @ 2.21% Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.89% | 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-1 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-2 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 0.96% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.96% Total : 20.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |