MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:53:37| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Heidenheim

Dortmund
2 - 2
Heidenheim

Brandt (7'), Can (15' pen.)
Bensebaini (61'), Haller (82'), Can (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dinkci (61'), Kleindienst (82' pen.)
Dinkci (35'), Beste (57'), Pieringer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Heidenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Heidenheim

 Heidenheim could be facing Dortmund at a bad time here after the hosts dropped points in their last match, already putting them two points behind Bayern in their quest to win their first title since 2012. The visitors have not looked completely out of their depth despite competing at this level for the first time in the club's history, but that could change to an extent on Friday, with BVB likely to run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
58.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)11.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.19% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)64.46% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.34%
    Heidenheim 21.34%
    Draw 20.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund
89.0%
Draw
5.0%
Heidenheim
6.0%
100
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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