MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:26:37| >> :600:714104:714104:
DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Dortmund logo

Schott Mainz
1 - 6
Dortmund

Gans (34')
Ahlbach (44'), Roden (68'), Muller (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Haller (22', 35'), Brandt (24'), Sabitzer (57'), Malen (79'), Moukoko (85')
Can (8')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Schott Mainz and Borussia Dortmund.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Schott Mainz 0-3 Hannover
Sunday, July 31 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 93.67%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Schott Mainz had a probability of 1.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-4 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.84%) and 0-5 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2%), while for a Schott Mainz win it was 2-1 (0.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Schott MainzDrawBorussia Dortmund
1.8% (-0.018 -0.02) 4.52% (-0.022 -0.02) 93.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 45.28% (-0.167 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
86.44% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)13.56% (0.013 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
71.7% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)28.3% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Schott Mainz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.93% (-0.171 -0.17)54.07% (0.168 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.68% (-0.103 -0.1)87.31% (0.101 0.1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.59%1.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
92.57% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)7.43% (-0.0111 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Schott Mainz 1.8%
    Borussia Dortmund 93.66%
    Draw 4.52%
Schott MainzDrawBorussia Dortmund
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 1.8%
1-1 @ 2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 4.52%
0-4 @ 10.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-3 @ 9.84% (0.026 0.03)
0-5 @ 8.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 6.44% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-6 @ 6.34% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-5 @ 5.49% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-6 @ 3.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-7 @ 3.86% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.25% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-7 @ 2.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-8 @ 2.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-8 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-6 @ 1.2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-9 @ 0.97% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 4.52%
Total : 93.66%

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