DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
OPEL ARENA
Schott Mainz1 - 6Dortmund
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Schott Mainz and Borussia Dortmund.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 Ajax
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 93.67%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Schott Mainz had a probability of 1.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-4 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.84%) and 0-5 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2%), while for a Schott Mainz win it was 2-1 (0.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Schott Mainz | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
1.8% ( -0.02) | 4.52% ( -0.02) | 93.67% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.28% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 86.44% ( -0.02) | 13.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 71.7% ( -0.03) | 28.3% ( 0.02) |
| Schott Mainz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.93% ( -0.17) | 54.07% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 12.68% ( -0.1) | 87.31% ( 0.1) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.59% | 1.41% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 92.57% ( 0.01) | 7.43% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Schott Mainz 1.8%
Borussia Dortmund 93.66%
Draw 4.52%
| Schott Mainz | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| Other @ 1.8% Total : 1.8% | 1-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.21% Total : 4.52% | 0-4 @ 10.47% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 9.84% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 8.93% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 6.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 3.9% ( -0)0-7 @ 3.86% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)1-7 @ 2.37% ( -0)0-8 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)1-8 @ 1.26% ( -0)2-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-9 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.52% Total : 93.66% |
