Club Friendlies

Jul 31, 2023 at 2am UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
2 - 3
Dortmund

Dalot (24'), Antony (52')
Forson (29')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Malen (43', 44'), Moukoko (71')
Adeyemi (29'), Hummels (36')

Erik ten Hag slams "unforgivable" Manchester United display in friendly defeat

Head coach Erik ten Hag describes parts of Manchester United's performance against Borussia Dortmund as "unforgivable" as his side go down to a 3-2 defeat to the German outfit.

Jul 31, 09:18

Amad Diallo celebrates scoring for Man Utd on July 31, 2022

Manchester United confirm Amad Diallo knee injury

Manchester United reveal that Ivorian attacker Amad Diallo missed Sunday's 3-2 friendly defeat to Borussia Dortmund due to a knee injury, which is being assessed.

Jul 31, 12:06

Lisandro Martinez in action for Manchester United on October 2, 2022

Lisandro Martinez offers view on Andre Onana, Harry Maguire incident

Manchester United centre-back Lisandro Martinez insists that there is nothing wrong with 'fighting your teammates' under the right circumstances.

Aug 2, 14:41

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester United

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Man Utd
Thursday, July 27 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Next Game: Man Utd vs. Lens
Saturday, August 5 at 12.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: San Diego Loyal 0-6 Dortmund
Friday, July 28 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Next Game: Chelsea vs. Dortmund
Thursday, August 3 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Manchester United 2-1 Borussia Dortmund

Both managers will view this match as vital in terms of their preparations for the new season, and we are expecting it to be a high-quality affair. Neither manager will be too concerned about the result, but Man United will want to recover from their loss to Real Madrid, and we can see the Red Devils shading this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
28.33% ( 0.01)	22.08% ( 0)	49.59% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 64.87% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.13% (

-0.01)

34.87% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.15% (

-0.01)

56.85% (

0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

24.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

58.48% (

-0)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.54% (

-0.01)

14.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.57% (

-0.02)

42.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Manchester United 28.33%

Borussia Dortmund 49.59%

Draw 22.08%

Manchester United	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.33%	1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.59% 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.01% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 9.28% 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.21% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.12% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 49.59%