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Bundesliga
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 7, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
3 - 1
Wolfsburg

Guirassy (67' pen., 78', 82')
Undav (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerhardt (34')
Svanberg (5'), Wind (42'), Vranckx (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 0-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Providing that Stuttgart have their key offensive players available - particularly Guirassy, who has been irresistible so far this season - then we can envisage them moving to the top of the Bundesliga table by recording another win on Saturday. Wolfsburg represent a solid outfit under Kovac, but they remain inconsistent in terms of results, and the former Bayern Munich boss must work out a way to help his side perform better on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
53.47% (-0.273 -0.27) 21.98% (0.041 0.04) 24.54% (0.229 0.23)
Both teams to score 61.45% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)37.77% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.98% (0.037999999999997 0.04)60.02% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)14.22% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.04% (-0.146 -0.15)41.96% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.199 0.2)28.36% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.249 0.25)64.1% (-0.25 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 53.48%
    Wolfsburg 24.54%
    Draw 21.98%
StuttgartDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.87% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 9.91% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 24.54%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Wolfsburg

Stuttgart
88.1%
Draw
7.1%
Wolfsburg
4.8%
42
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
0-1
Wolfsburg
Marmoush (56')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Wolfsburg
3-2
Stuttgart
Marmoush (23'), Arnold (38'), Gerhardt (90+1')
Guirassy (22'), Mavropanos (45+1')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Stuttgart
1-1
Wolfsburg
Fuhrich (89')
Sosa (22'), Endo (34'), Karazor (55')
Brooks (13')
Schlager (61'), Nmecha (66')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Wolfsburg
0-2
Stuttgart

Bornauw (24'), Arnold (79')
Mavropanos (25'), Forster (63')
Ito (41'), Marmoush (71')
> Preview
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Stuttgart
1-3
Wolfsburg
Castro (90+2')
Ahamada (63'), Castro (77'), Cisse (86')
Schlager (13'), Weghorst (29'), Gerhardt (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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