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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for FC Twente has a probability of 22.85% and a draw has a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Twente win is 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.93%).
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
55.38% ( 1.44) | 21.77% ( -0.29) | 22.85% ( -1.16) |
Both teams to score 60.07% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.35% ( 0.05) | 38.65% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.05% ( 0.05) | 60.95% ( -0.05) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.08% ( 0.47) | 13.92% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.63% ( 0.93) | 41.36% ( -0.93) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.78% ( -0.93) | 30.22% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.61% ( -1.13) | 66.38% ( 1.12) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.17) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.45% Total : 55.38% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.96% Total : 22.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |