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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 82.55%. A draw has a probability of 11.8% and a win for Heracles has a probability of 5.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (11.88%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Heracles win it is 0-1 (1.98%).
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heracles |
82.55% ( 3.31) | 11.79% ( -1.11) | 5.66% ( -2.21) |
Both teams to score 43.94% ( -9.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.16% ( -4.26) | 32.83% ( 4.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.47% ( -5.08) | 54.53% ( 5.08) |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.1% ( -0.25) | 5.9% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.41% ( -0.7) | 22.59% ( 0.7) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.69% ( -9.48) | 53.3% ( 9.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.16% ( -6.86) | 86.84% ( 6.86) |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Heracles |
2-0 @ 12.59% ( 2.37) 3-0 @ 11.88% ( 2.09) 1-0 @ 8.9% ( 1.78) 4-0 @ 8.41% ( 1.38) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.6) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.51) 5-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.72) 5-1 @ 3% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.98) 6-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.73) 6-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.18) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.43) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.79% Total : 82.54% | 1-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.67) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.99) Other @ 0.55% Total : 11.79% | 0-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.66) Other @ 1.92% Total : 5.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |