Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 16, 2021 at 1.30pm UK

AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ
5 - 0
Heracles

Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Heracles win it was 0-1 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
69.21%	18.08%	12.71%

Both teams to score 51.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.57%

39.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.23%

61.77%

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.68%

10.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.25%

33.75%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.7%

42.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.3%

78.69%

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 69.2%

Heracles 12.71%

Draw 18.08%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 11.25% 1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 8.53% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.84% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.16% 5-0 @ 2.2% 5-1 @ 1.89% 4-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 4.45% Total : 69.2%	1-1 @ 8.53% 0-0 @ 4.36% 2-2 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.12% Total : 18.08%	0-1 @ 3.75% 1-2 @ 3.67% 0-2 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.42% Total : 12.71%