Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 25, 2021 at 11.15am UK

JenS Vesting

Emmen
3 - 1
Heracles

de Leeuw (58' pen., 89', 90+1')
Verrips (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vloet (82' pen.)
de la Torre (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Emmen and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Heracles win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.

Result
Emmen	Draw	Heracles
43.11%	24.89%	32%

Both teams to score 57.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.87%

46.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.57%

68.43%

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57%

21.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.56%

54.44%

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.58%

27.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.1%

62.91%

Score Analysis

Emmen 43.11%

Heracles 32%

Draw 24.89%

Emmen	Draw	Heracles
1-0 @ 9.05% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 6.97% 3-1 @ 4.63% 3-0 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.11%	1-1 @ 11.71% 0-0 @ 5.88% 2-2 @ 5.84% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.6% 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-2 @ 4.92% 1-3 @ 3.27% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.95% Total : 32%