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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
65.53% | 18.97% | 15.5% |
Both teams to score 56.4% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.85% | 37.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.64% | 59.35% |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.39% | 10.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.59% | 34.41% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.1% | 36.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.31% | 73.69% |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 8.78% 3-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 7.35% 4-0 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-2 @ 2.05% 5-0 @ 1.86% 5-1 @ 1.85% 5-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.76% Total : 65.53% | 1-1 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.9% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.19% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 4.36% 0-1 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.63% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.21% Total : 15.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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