MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:30:51| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
FC Utrecht

AZ
1 - 2
Utrecht

Parrott (24')
Mijnans (21')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cathline (32'), Aaronson (55')
Romeny (6'), Fraulo (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 3-2 Elfsborg
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Willem II
Saturday, September 21 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 FC Utrecht

Matches between these two in recent times have delivered goals, with 21 hitting the back of the net in the last four encounters alone, and given how they have started this season, we are expecting a few more this weekend. However, with 10 goals scored and having not conceded in their two home games this season, we are just about leaning toward AZ to edge the result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 17.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
62.87% (0.7 0.7) 19.55% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 17.58% (-0.61 -0.61)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.941 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.11% (-0.649 -0.65)35.89% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.02% (-0.71899999999999 -0.72)57.98% (0.718 0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.08% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)10.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.89% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)35.11% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-1.05 -1.05)33.68% (1.049 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-1.16 -1.16)70.33% (1.157 1.16)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 62.87%
    FC Utrecht 17.58%
    Draw 19.55%
AZ AlkmaarDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.02% (0.281 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.15% (0.257 0.26)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.66% (0.205 0.21)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.69% (0.112 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.049 0.05)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 62.87%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.68% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.55%
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.122 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.108 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 17.58%

How you voted: AZ vs Utrecht

AZ Alkmaar
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
FC Utrecht
0.0%
42
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
3-3
Utrecht
De Wit (15'), Van Bommel (16'), Pavlidis (37')
Pavlidis (38'), Sadiq (51')
de Wit (60')
Boussaid (55'), Lammers (71'), Jensen (81')
Dec 3, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 14
Utrecht
1-1
AZ
Jensen (49')
Feb 7, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
AZ
1-2
Utrecht
Karlsson (86')
Viergever (58'), Maeda (93')
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
AZ
5-5
Utrecht
Dekker (20'), Pavlidis (31', 34', 78'), De Wit (70')
Douvikas (12', 16', 65'), Viergever (41'), Van de Streek (80')
Oct 9, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 9
Utrecht
1-2
AZ
Sylla (90+2')
Van Brederode (31'), Sugawara (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!